Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Arouca

Porto
3 - 0
Arouca

Uribe (24'), Taremi (34'), Marcano (63')
Mario (45+2'), Costa (51'), Diaz (59'), Uribe (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miguel Pereira Da Silva (25'), Quaresma Correia (83'), Dabbagh (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawArouca
72.27%16.34%11.39%
Both teams to score 53.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.5%34.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.57%56.43%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.67%8.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.97%29.03%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84%41.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3%77.7%
Score Analysis
    Porto 72.27%
    Arouca 11.39%
    Draw 16.34%
PortoDrawArouca
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 7.79%
4-0 @ 5.45%
4-1 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.46%
5-0 @ 2.71%
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.15%
6-0 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 1.07%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 72.27%
1-1 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.17%
0-0 @ 3.43%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.34%
1-2 @ 3.36%
0-1 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 11.39%

How you voted: Porto vs Arouca

Porto
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Arouca
0.0%
28
rhs 2.0


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