Arouca

2 - 1

Famalicao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.