Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
| 49.63% | 27.18% | 23.18% |
| Both teams to score 43.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.88% | 60.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.67% | 80.33% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% | 24.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% | 58.82% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.1% | 41.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.65% | 78.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.29% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.18% |