Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.8%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 17.27% | 23.48% | 59.25% |
| Both teams to score 45.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% | 74.94% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.49% | 44.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.46% | 80.54% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% | 17.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.39% 2-1 @ 4.47% 2-0 @ 2.59% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.27% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 5.51% 0-4 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-5 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.24% |