Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 22, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
4 - 0
Vizela

Andre (70' pen.), Estupinan (75'), Edwards (82'), Sacko (90+5' pen.)
Almeida (35'), Andre (51'), Soares (77'), Mumin (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wilson (15'), Guzzo (17'), Kouao (67'), Schettine (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
57.49%	23.17%	19.34%

Both teams to score 50.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69%

49.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63%

71.37%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1%

16.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.05%

46.95%

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.32%

39.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65%

76.36%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.48%

Vizela 19.34%

Draw 23.17%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 5.8% 4-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.93% Total : 57.48%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.34%