Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Tondela |
| 32.9% | 26.26% | 40.84% |
| Both teams to score 52.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% | 51.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% | 73.55% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% | 29.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% | 65.67% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% | 25.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% | 59.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.83% |