Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Dabbagh (51')
Nunes (45+1'), Silva (63'), Araujo (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nunes (16'), Santos (54')
Sarabia (45'), Paulinho (63'), Porro (63'), Braganca (77'), Tomas (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
19.06%	23.58%	57.36%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7%

51.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87%

73.13%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86%

41.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32%

77.68%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33%

17.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.71%

48.29%

Score Analysis

Arouca 19.06%

Sporting Lisbon 57.35%

Draw 23.58%

Arouca	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.06%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 12.59% 0-2 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.35%