Sporting Covilha
0 - 2
Guimaraes

Thiaguinho (90+1'), Felipe (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Janvier (25', 29')
Duarte (62'), Andre (90+1'), Guedes (90+2')

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Sporting Covilha and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.64%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Sporting Covilha	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
18.54%	27.79%	53.67%

Both teams to score 37.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.17%

65.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.53%

84.46%

Sporting Covilha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.64%

50.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.09%

84.9%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89%

25.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19%

59.81%

Score Analysis

Sporting Covilha 18.54%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.66%

Draw 27.78%

Sporting Covilha	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 4.11% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.54%	0-0 @ 12.64% 1-1 @ 11.98% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 17.47% 0-2 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-3 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-4 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 53.66%

Sporting Covilha0 - 2Guimaraes

Data Analysis

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Sporting Covilha
0 - 2
Guimaraes