Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2021 at 9.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Banza (5')
Pickel (63'), Figueiras (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Estupinan (34'), Edwards (59')
Sacko (26'), Borevkovic (38'), Rochinha (42'), Andre (62'), Varela (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
33.88%	29.07%	37.05%

Both teams to score 44.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.86%

62.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.16%

81.84%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73%

34.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03%

70.97%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83%

32.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34%

68.66%

Score Analysis

Famalicao 33.87%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 37.05%

Draw 29.07%

Famalicao	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.87%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 12.5% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.05%