Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 27.5% | 27.73% | 44.76% |
| Both teams to score 45.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.67% | 59.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.27% | 79.73% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% | 37.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% | 74.34% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% | 61.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.7% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-3 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.3% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.76% |