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Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 22, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Penafiel

Famalicao
5 - 0
Penafiel

Rodrigues (35'), Banza (57'), Marques (69', 89'), Rodrigues (73' pen.)
Tavares (23'), Marin (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tavares (42'), Caiado (71'), Pedro (79'), Amorim (83'), Simaozinho (87')
Teixeira (59')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Famalicao and Penafiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPenafiel
52.59%26.17%21.23%
Both teams to score 44.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62%58.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.01%78.98%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.8%
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.12%42.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81%79.18%
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 52.59%
    Penafiel 21.23%
    Draw 26.17%
FamalicaoDrawPenafiel
1-0 @ 14.35%
2-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 52.59%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 9.57%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.11%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.09%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Penafiel

Famalicao
100%
Draw
0.0%
Penafiel
0.0%
6