Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 25, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
3 - 2
Famalicao

Murillo (33'), Boselli (78'), Dadasov (84')
Augusto (24'), Sagnan (62'), Murillo (63'), Dadasov (86'), Trigueira (90+3'), Bebeto (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jaime (40'), Marin (50')
Rodrigues (51'), Pepe (63'), Dalberson (70'), Alex (86'), Tavares (90')
Penetra (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Famalicao
33.99%	28.14%	37.87%

Both teams to score 47.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.14%

58.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64%

79.36%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52%

32.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31%

69%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99%

30.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87%

66.13%

Score Analysis

Tondela 33.99%

Famalicao 37.87%

Draw 28.13%

Tondela	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.99%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.87%