Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 29, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 1
Tondela

Silva (71'), Gilberto (88')
Pizzi (9'), Everton (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Agra (22')
Khacef (19'), Niasse (35'), Undabarrena (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Tondela
71.09%	17.65%	11.25%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.7%

41.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.3%

63.7%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.65%

10.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.17%

33.83%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.05%

45.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.32%

81.68%

Score Analysis

Benfica 71.08%

Tondela 11.25%

Draw 17.66%

Benfica	Draw	Tondela
2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 7.19% 4-0 @ 5.25% 4-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.8% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.17% Total : 71.08%	1-1 @ 8.39% 0-0 @ 4.76% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.66%	0-1 @ 3.7% 1-2 @ 3.26% 0-2 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.25%

How you voted: Benfica vs Tondela

Benfica

82.9%

Draw

14.3%

Tondela

2.9%

Benfica2 - 1Tondela

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

How you voted: Benfica vs Tondela

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Benfica
2 - 1
Tondela