Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 33.85% | 29.62% | 36.53% |
| Both teams to score 43.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.07% | 63.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.86% | 83.14% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% | 35.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% | 72.01% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% | 33.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% | 70.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.13% Total : 33.85% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 12.91% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.53% |