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Tondela
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Jul 24, 2021 at 11am UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Gil Vicente logo
Tondela
0 - 1
Gil Vicente

Paulo Marques Goncalves (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carvalho (87')
Carvalho (90')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Tondela and Gil Vicente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
TondelaDrawGil Vicente
31.69%26.97%41.34%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08%54.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79%76.2%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97%32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5%68.5%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83%26.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75%61.25%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 31.69%
    Gil Vicente 41.34%
    Draw 26.97%
TondelaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.69%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 7.53%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.34%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Tondela
1-0
Gil Vicente
Pedro (5' pen.)
Agra (61')

Fernandes (2')
Oct 17, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Gil Vicente
1-1
Tondela
Lino (25')
Nogueira (41'), Afonso (75')
Ferreira (58')
Augusto (45+2'), Murillo (63'), Naoufel Khacef (78')
Niasse (12')
Jul 14, 2020 9.30pm
Gameweek 32
Gil Vicente
3-2
Tondela
Ribeiro (29'), Fernandes (57'), Kraev (64')
Banguera (41'), Nogueira (71')
Tavares (73'), Toro (84')
Pedro (51'), Pepelu (81'), Murillo (87'), Valente (90+1')
Jan 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 15
Tondela
1-1
Gil Vicente
Alves (5')
Toro (70'), Tavares (89')
Baraye (15')
Goncalves (64'), Gomes (66')
rhs 2.0
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