Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 15, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio de São Luís

Farense
1 - 0
Tondela

Gauld (79' pen.)
Queta (64'), Abner (90+7'), Beto (90+9'), Nogueira (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Olabe (66'), Agra (77')
Agra (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Tondela
42.32%	27.92%	29.76%

Both teams to score 46.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.96%

59.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.5%

79.49%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91%

63.08%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39%

35.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63%

72.37%

Score Analysis

SC Farense 42.31%

Tondela 29.76%

Draw 27.92%

SC Farense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.31%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.76%