Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Tondela |
| 65.15% | 20.3% | 14.55% |
| Both teams to score 49.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% | 45.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% | 67.61% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% | 13.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% | 39.73% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.77% | 43.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.52% | 79.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Tondela |
| 2-0 @ 11.69% 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.94% Total : 65.15% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 4.75% 1-2 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.15% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.48% Total : 14.55% |