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Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić
Braga

Red Star
2 - 1
Braga

Rodic (75'), Katai (85' pen.)
Krsticic (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galeno (76')
Mineiro (67'), Elmusrati (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawBraga
37.27%23.67%39.06%
Both teams to score 62.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77%39.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44%61.55%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87%54.12%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63%20.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23%52.76%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 37.27%
    Braga 39.06%
    Draw 23.67%
Red Star BelgradeDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.06%

How you voted: Red Star vs Braga

Red Star Belgrade
69.7%
Draw
13.8%
Braga
16.6%
145