Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Maritimo |
| 41.6% | 28.26% | 30.14% |
| Both teams to score 45.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.9% | 60.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.69% | 80.31% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% | 28.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% | 64.23% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% | 35.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.99% Total : 30.13% |