Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
| 72.8% | 17.66% | 9.54% |
| Both teams to score 42.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.74% | 11.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.13% | 35.87% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.47% | 52.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.65% | 86.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
| 2-0 @ 14.1% 1-0 @ 12.92% 3-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 6.61% 4-0 @ 5.6% 4-1 @ 3.61% 5-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 72.79% | 1-1 @ 8.32% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 2.68% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.54% |