Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.02% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.