NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

3-1

Dunne (60' og.), McGonigle (84'), Jarvis (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lecky (29')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Glentoran vs. Coleraine
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Ballymena vs. Carrick
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.02% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
ColeraineDrawCarrick Rangers
70.1%18.02%11.87%
Both teams to score 49.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65%41.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25%63.74%
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38%10.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.58%34.41%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.09%44.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.14%80.86%
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 70.1%
    Carrick Rangers 11.87%
    Draw 18.02%
ColeraineDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 11.99%
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.18%
4-0 @ 5.03%
4-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.87%
5-0 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 70.1%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 4.77%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.02%
0-1 @ 3.82%
1-2 @ 3.43%
0-2 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.03%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 11.87%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2025 3pm
Feb 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 28
Carrick
0-1
Coleraine

Boyle (13'), (77')
Campbell (76')
McGonigle (90')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
gameweek 22
Carrick
2-1
Coleraine
Heatley (10'), Purkis (36')
Forsythe (27'), Cherry (41'), Glendinning (57'), Cushley (89')
Glackin (59')
Kelly (21'), Glackin (53')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
gameweek 7
Coleraine
3-1
Carrick
Murray (30'), Carse (56'), Campbell (72')
Stewart (44'), Murray (57'), Shevlin (66')
Heatley (32')
Macuilaitis (19'), Gordon (68')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
gameweek 26
Coleraine
0-2
Carrick

Scott (16'), McKendry (62'), Kane (90')
Cushley (59'), Purkis (86')
Mackinnon (30'), Cherry (90+4'), Glendinning (90+6')