Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-2 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.