NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cahal McGinty 29' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 63' yellowcard
  • goal Cahal McGinty 8'
  • yellowcard Steven Scott 43'
  • yellowcard Gael Bigirimana 70'
  • goal Adam Glenny 76'

Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Glenavon 3 - 1 Ballymena
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Dungannon 1 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Sean McAllister

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Ballymena United 37.82%
Draw 27.19%
Dungannon Swifts 34.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.79%
Under 2.5 55.2%
Over 3.5 23.56%
Under 3.5 76.44%
Over 4.5 10.46%
Under 4.5 89.54%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 71.74%
Under 0.5 28.26%
Over 1.5 36.03%
Under 1.5 63.97%

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5 70.01%
Under 0.5 29.99%
Over 1.5 33.89%
Under 1.5 66.11%

Score analysis

Ballymena United 37.82%
Draw 27.19%
Dungannon Swifts 34.97%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.19%
Dungannon Swifts
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 34.97%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stangmore Park
  • Kealan Dillon 11' yellowcard
  • Declan Dunne 13' redcard
  • John McGovern 74' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick McEleney 15'
  • yellowcard Kian Corbally 24'
  • goal Jordan McMullan 52'
  • yellowcard James Hood 65'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 72'
  • goal Success Edogun 82'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Alex Gawne 29' yellowcard
  • Sean O'Neill 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ethan Devine 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Dunne 29'
  • yellowcard Steven Scott 39'
  • goal Andrew Mitchell 84'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • Kealan Dillon 19' goal
  • Niall Owens 37' yellowcard
  • Cahal McGinty 38' yellowcard
  • S. Seaton 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Carson 14'
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 19'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • Adam Glenny 12' goal
  • Declan Dunne 14' yellowcard
  • Andrew Mitchell 52' goal
  • Dean Curry 87' goal
  • yellowcard Shea McAuley 88'
  • yellowcard Mikey Place 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT The Showgrounds
  • Mikey Place 27' goal
  • Fraser Taylor 54' goal
  • Jonathan McMurray 62' yellowcard
  • goal Dean Curry 14'
  • yellowcard John Scott 31'
  • goal Ben Gallagher 40'
  • goal Adam Glenny 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Cahal McGinty 52'
  • goal Adam Glenny 88'
  • yellowcard Adam Glenny 90'