Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.