NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

1-2

McGinty (29' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGinty (8'), Glenny (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Ballymena vs. Carrick
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Dungannon vs. Portadown
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
37.82%27.19%34.98%
Both teams to score 50.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79%55.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56%76.44%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03%63.97%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 37.82%
    Dungannon Swifts 34.97%
    Draw 27.19%
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.82%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 34.97%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2025 3pm
Mar 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 31
Dungannon
0-3
Ballymena

Dillon (11'), McGovern (74')
Dunne (13')
McEleney (15'), McMullan (52'), Edogun (82')
Corbally (24'), Hood (65'), Jarvis (72')
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
gameweek 21
Ballymena
0-1
Dungannon

Gawne (29'), O'Neill (45+1'), Devine (88')
Mitchell (84' pen.)
Dunne (29'), Scott (39')
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
gameweek 4
Dungannon
1-0
Ballymena
Dillon (19')
Owens (37'), McGinty (38'), Seaton (81')

Carson (14'), Loughran (19')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 5
Dungannon
3-0
Ballymena
Glenny (12'), Mitchell (52'), Curry (87')
Dunne (14')

McAuley (88'), Place (89')