Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.