Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.