J1 League
Dec 6, 2025 at 5am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 0
Machida Zelvia

Okamura (63' og.)
(77'), Nakama (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, December 6 at 5am in J1 League

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-1 Ulsan
Tuesday, December 9 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawMachida Zelvia
40.9%26.22%32.87%
Both teams to score 52.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38%51.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59%73.4%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1%24.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49%59.51%
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59%
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 40.9%
    Machida Zelvia 32.87%
    Draw 26.22%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.87%

Head to Head
May 17, 2025 6am
gameweek 17
Machida Zelvia
3-0
Reysol
Hayashi (4', 4'), Koga (15' og., 15' og.), Na (45+2' pen., 45+2' pen.)
Hayashi (35'), Hayashi (35')
Oct 19, 2024 6am
gameweek 34
Reysol
1-1
Machida Zelvia
Hosoya (63', 63')
Shimoda (90+5' pen., 90+5')
Shoji (77'), Shoji (77'), Nakashima (86'), Nakashima (86')
May 3, 2024 7am
gameweek 11
Machida Zelvia
2-0
Reysol
Oh (9', 9'), Araki (68', 68')

Yamada (42'), Yamada (42'), Grot (90+5'), Grot (90+5')