J1 League Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 6.00am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Kotaro Hayashi 4' goal
  • Kotaro Hayashi 4' goal
  • Taiyo Koga 15' goal
  • Taiyo Koga 15' goal
  • Kotaro Hayashi 35' yellowcard
  • Kotaro Hayashi 35' yellowcard
  • Sangho Na 45'+2' goal
  • Sangho Na 45'+2' goal

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 5.05am
Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 2 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2025 11.00am
Yokohama 0 - 2 Reysol
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Mao Hosoya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Machida Zelvia 25.33% (-0.30)
Draw 28.18% (-0.24)
Kashiwa Reysol 46.48% (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.27% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.04% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 61.95% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 18.29% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 81.7% (-0.45)
Over 4.5 7.37% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 92.62% (-0.25)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 59.08% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.92% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 22.51% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 77.48% (-0.08)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 73.24% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 26.76% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 37.96% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 62.04% (-0.73)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 25.33%
Draw 28.17%
Kashiwa Reysol 46.48%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 25.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.95% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.17%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 14.43% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 9.52% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.5% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 4.18% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.38% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.23% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 46.48%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Mao Hosoya 63' goal
  • Mao Hosoya 63' goal
  • yellowcard Gen Shoji 77'
  • yellowcard Gen Shoji 77'
  • yellowcard Yuki Nakashima 86'
  • yellowcard Yuki Nakashima 86'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 90'+5'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 7.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Se-Hun Oh 9' goal
  • Se-Hun Oh 9' goal
  • Shunta Araki 68' goal
  • Shunta Araki 68' goal
  • yellowcard Yuto Yamada 42'
  • yellowcard Yuto Yamada 42'
  • yellowcard Jay-Roy Grot 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jay-Roy Grot 90'+5'