J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 at 6am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
3 - 0
Reysol

Hayashi (4', 4'), Koga (15' og., 15' og.), Na (45+2' pen., 45+2' pen.)
Hayashi (35'), Hayashi (35')
FT(HT: 6-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, May 11 at 5.05am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 0-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 14 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
25.33% (-0.29 -0.29)28.18% (-0.24 -0.24)46.48% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 43.27% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04% (0.596 0.6)61.95% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (0.437 0.44)81.7% (-0.441 -0.44)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (0.076000000000001 0.08)40.92% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51% (0.067 0.07)77.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.54900000000001 0.55)26.76% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.721 0.72)62.04% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 25.33%
    Kashiwa Reysol 46.48%
    Draw 28.17%
Machida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.95% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 14.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 46.48%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 34
Reysol
1-1
Machida Zelvia
Hosoya (63')
Shimoda (90+5' pen.)
Shoji (77'), Nakashima (86')
May 3, 2024 7am
Gameweek 11
Machida Zelvia
2-0
Reysol
Oh (9'), Araki (68')

Yamada (42'), Grot (90+5')