Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.