Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.