J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 5am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
1 - 0
Okayama

Thiago (49', 49')
Gustafson (45'), Gustafson (45'), Thiago (58'), Thiago (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Fagiano Okayama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 0-2 Reysol
Sunday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Okayama 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawFagiano Okayama
41.02% (0.141 0.14)25.17% (0.305 0.31)33.81% (-0.447 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-1.179 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (-1.485 -1.49)46.85% (1.487 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (-1.407 -1.41)69.11% (1.408 1.41)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.574 -0.57)22.72% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (-0.859 -0.86)56.4% (0.861 0.86)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.97399999999999 -0.97)26.65% (0.975 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-1.31 -1.31)61.9% (1.311 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 41.02%
    Fagiano Okayama 33.81%
    Draw 25.16%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawFagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.02%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.277 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.81%