Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.