Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.