J1 League | Gameweek 4

Mar 2, 2025 at 6am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
0 - 2
Reysol

FT(HT: 0-4)

Koyamatsu (14', 14'), Kakita (31', 31')
Koizumi (73'), Koizumi (73')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Urawa
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Reysol 2-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
34.68% ( 0.21)	26.27% ( -0.12)	39.05% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

0.52)

51.47% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

0.45)

73.28% (

-0.44)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

0.38)

28.34% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

0.48)

64.08% (

-0.48)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18% (

0.19)

25.82% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22% (

0.25)

60.78% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 34.68%

Kashiwa Reysol 39.05%

Draw 26.27%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.68%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.05%