J1 League | Gameweek 3

Feb 26, 2025 at 10am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
2 - 1
Cerezo

Kakita (66'), Kinoshita (74')
Harada (36'), Diego (88'), Diego (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kitano (13')
Okuno (90')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 22 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, February 22 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
37.42% ( 0.02)	26.86% ( -0)	35.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.34% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18% (

0.02)

53.82% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

0.01)

75.29% (

-0.01)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.02)

27.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.02)

63.43% (

-0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

28.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29% (

64.71% (

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 37.42%

Cerezo Osaka 35.72%

Draw 26.86%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.42%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.72%