Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.