J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 5, 2024 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 4
Kashima Antlers


Nagakura (68'), Ono (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Chiba (12' og.), Higuchi (15', 45+2'), Suzuki (53')
Chinen (62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 5-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, September 27 at 11am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashima Antlers
32.47% (0.026000000000003 0.03)23.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.16% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.84% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)48.58% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 32.47%
    Kashima Antlers 44.23%
    Draw 23.3%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashima Antlers
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 44.23%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 10am
Gameweek 18
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Albirex Niigata
Fujii (50')
Fujii (62')
Komi (43')
Aug 26, 2023 10am
Gameweek 25
Kashima Antlers
2-0
Albirex Niigata
Kakita (9'), Suzuki (30')
Suzuki (33')

Fujiwara (35')
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 9
Albirex Niigata
0-2
Kashima Antlers