J1 League Gameweek 28
Aug 25, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Eiji Miyamoto 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 7'

Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 11.30am
Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 10.00am
Machida Zelvia 4 - 0 Jubilo Iwata
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Se-Hun Oh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 25.99% (+0.49)
Draw 25.47% (+0.16)
Machida Zelvia 48.54% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.18% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 51.82% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 26.42% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 73.58% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 12.27% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.73% (+0.17)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 65.26% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 34.73% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 28.53% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 71.46% (-0.27)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 78.63% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 21.36% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 45.66% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 54.34% (+0.61)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 25.99%
Draw 25.47%
Machida Zelvia 48.53%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 7.85% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 6.4% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.15% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.26% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.42% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.47%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 11.45%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.55% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.53%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 1, 2024 7.00am
1
3
HT : 2 4
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Shota Fujio 27' goal
  • Shota Fujio 27' goal
  • goal Yota Komi 24'
  • goal Yota Komi 24'
  • goal Soya Fujiwara 45'
  • goal Soya Fujiwara 45'
  • goal Min-kyu Jang 52' (OG)
  • goal Min-kyu Jang 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Fitzgerald 74'
  • yellowcard Michael Fitzgerald 74'