Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.