J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Lucas Fernandes 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Heroki Mochizuki 20'
  • yellowcard Yuki Soma 27'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 51'

Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
Cerezo 1 - 2 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 10.00am
Machida Zelvia 1 - 2 Yokohama
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Se-Hun Oh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 29.86% (-0.02)
Draw 26.41% (+0.02)
Machida Zelvia 43.74% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.64% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 53.36% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 25.1% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.9% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 11.42% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.58% (+0.04)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 67.46% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.54% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.93% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.07% (+0.06)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 75.76% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.24% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.6% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 29.86%
Draw 26.41%
Machida Zelvia 43.73%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.86% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.89% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.41%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 11.17% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.73%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Kotaro Hayashi 27' yellowcard
  • Se-Hun Oh 70' goal
  • Se-Hun Oh 70' goal
  • Keiya Sento 80' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Duke 90'+3' goal
  • goal Hiroto Yamada 31'
  • goal Leo Ceara 84'