MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 09:52:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 0
Machida Zelvia


Fernandes (49')
FT

Heroki Mochizuki (20'), Soma (27'), Dresevic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.15am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Reims
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Machida Zelvia

The last three meetings between Cerezo Osaka and Machida have yielded a combined 11 goals, and we expect another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the away side to narrowly edge out their hosts at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
29.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 43.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.36% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)32.54% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)69.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)24.24% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 29.86%
    Machida Zelvia 43.73%
    Draw 26.41%
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.73%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Machida Zelvia

Cerezo Osaka
15.0%
Draw
10.0%
Machida Zelvia
75.0%
20
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 11am
Gameweek 14
Machida Zelvia
2-1
Cerezo
Oh (70'), Duke (90+3')
Hayashi (27'), Sento (80')
Ceara (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!