Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
29.86% ( -0.02)	26.41% ( 0.02)	43.74% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.11% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

-0.06)

53.36% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

-0.05)

74.9% (

0.06)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46% (

-0.04)

32.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

-0.05)

69.07% (

0.05)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

-0.03)

24.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

-0.04)

58.6% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 29.86%

Machida Zelvia 43.73%

Draw 26.41%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.86%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.73%