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Masaya Shibayama
66'
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Reiya Sakata
73'
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Karim Adeyemi
26'
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Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
29'
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Karim Adeyemi
30'
Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.32)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.78%
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.47)
1-3 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.33)
1-4 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.13)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.01%