Club Friendlies 1
Jul 17, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Erzgebirgsstadion
  • Sean Seitz 82' goal
  • goal Elias Benkara 20'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 41'
  • yellowcard Tyler Louis Meiser 50'
  • yellowcard Paris Brunner 85'

Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Erzgebirge Aue

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 12, 2024 1.00pm
Alemannia Aachen 0 - 0 Dortmund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.37%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Erzgebirge Aue 35.45% (+0.15)
Draw 21.18% (-0.07)
Borussia Dortmund 43.36% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.22% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.17% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 26.82% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 52.73% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 47.26% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 33.29% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 66.7% (-0.45)

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5 83.5% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 16.5% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 53.77% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 46.23% (-0.42)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 86.5% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 13.5% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 59.46% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 40.54% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 35.45%
Draw 21.18%
Borussia Dortmund 43.36%
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.35% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.01% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.96% (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 35.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 7.25% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.91% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.18%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.84% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 43.36%