Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.