/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Julian Brandt
29'
-
Stefan Bell
39'
-
Sepp van den Berg
43'
-
Jonathan Burkardt
85'
-
Tom Krauss
90'
-
Aymen Barkok
90'+2'
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fjulian-brandt_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
47.68%
▲
(+1.49)
Draw
22.05%
▲
(+0.11)
Mainz 05
30.26%
▼
(-1.60)
Both Teams to Score:
66.4%
▼
(-1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.56%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 2.5
33.44%
▲
(+1.40)
Over 3.5
44.77%
▼
(-1.62)
Under 3.5
55.22%
▲
(+1.61)
Over 4.5
26.1%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 4.5
73.89%
▲
(+1.40)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
85.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
14.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
57.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
42.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
77.73%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 0.5
22.26%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 1.5
44.29%
▼
(-2.43)
Under 1.5
55.7%
▲
(+2.42)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
47.68%
Draw
22.05%
Mainz 05
30.26%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.04%
▲
(+0.23)
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.68%
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.68%
Draw
1-1
@
9.39%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.05%
2-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.05%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
7.05%
▼
(-0.16)
0-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.26%
0-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.26%