MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 05:25:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo
B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Dortmund
Okoh Boniface (79')
Frimpong (12'), Palacios (74'), Odilon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ryerson (5')
Hummels (77'), Wolf (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

There is little doubt that this match is the stand-out game of the weekend in the Bundesliga, with both teams desperate for all three points for different reasons. Leverkusen will need to win to return to the top of the table should Bayern defeat Union Berlin as expected, while Dortmund must close the gap on their opponents. Despite Dortmund's hugely positive week, Leverkusen are playing at a higher level at the moment, and we can envisage them coming out on top in what could be a classic encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.75%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
57.75% (3.81 3.81) 20.33% (-0.365 -0.37) 21.92% (-3.447 -3.45)
Both teams to score 64.07% (-3.168 -3.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.14% (-2.231 -2.23)32.85% (2.227 2.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.44% (-2.616 -2.62)54.55% (2.613 2.61)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (0.31700000000001 0.32)11.35% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.96% (0.692 0.69)36.04% (-0.693 -0.69)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-3.847 -3.85)27.73% (3.845 3.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-5.216 -5.22)63.3% (5.214 5.21)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 57.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 21.92%
    Draw 20.33%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.45% (1.02 1.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.338 0.34)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.861 0.86)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.8 0.8)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.23 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.467 0.47)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.217 0.22)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 57.75%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.464 -0.46)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.36 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.353 -0.35)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.522 -0.52)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 21.92%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
67.6%
Draw
9.5%
Borussia Dortmund
23.0%
74
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
2-5
B. Leverkusen
Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen23194059164361
2Bayern MunichBayern23172463263753
3Stuttgart23152652292347
4Borussia DortmundDortmund22118344271741
5RB Leipzig23124749301940
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt228953428633
7Werder Bremen238693235-330
8Freiburg228592940-1129
9Heidenheim237793340-728
10Hoffenheim227693841-327
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2367104145-425
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin2374122337-1425
13VfL BochumVfL Bochum2351082846-1825
14Wolfsburg2266102634-824
15Augsburg225893140-923
16FC Koln2338121637-2117
17Mainz 05Mainz2329121837-1915
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2327142452-2813

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