Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg

Wirtz (36'), Hofmann (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gulde (70')
Kubler (14'), Streich (90+3'), Holer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
63.72% ( 0.16)	19.75% ( 0.17)	16.53% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.2% (

-1.47)

38.8% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.89% (

-1.56)

61.12% (

1.56)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

-0.39)

11.56% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.5% (

-0.84)

36.5% (

0.85)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34% (

-1.29)

36.66% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55% (

-1.33)

73.45% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 63.72%

Freiburg 16.53%

Draw 19.75%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.72%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.75%	1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.53%