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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
57.2% (![]() | 20.97% (![]() | 21.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.88% (![]() | 36.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.78% (![]() | 58.22% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.46% (![]() | 12.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.43% (![]() | 38.57% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% (![]() | 29.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% (![]() | 65.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 4.16% Total : 57.2% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.7% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.04% Total : 21.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 |
R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 |
R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 |
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