Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg

Alario (54'), Palacios (90+7')
Diaby (18'), Baumgartlinger (26')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Haberer (88')
Eggestein (3'), Schlotterbeck (43'), Sildillia (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
57.2% ( 0.01)	20.97% ( -0)	21.83% ( -0)

Both teams to score 61.51% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.88% (

0.01)

36.12% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.78% (

0.01)

58.22% (

-0)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

12.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.43% (

0.01)

38.57% (

-0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

29.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28% (

-0)

65.72% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 57.2%

Freiburg 21.83%

Draw 20.97%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 4.16% Total : 57.2%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.97%	1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.04% Total : 21.83%