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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 35.64% | 24.22% | 40.14% |
| Both teams to score 60.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% | 64.5% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% | 23.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% | 57.34% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% | 21.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% | 53.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.14% |