Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
RB Leipzig

Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
37.01%	22%	41%

Both teams to score 69.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.28%

30.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.94%

52.06%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42%

17.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.85%

48.15%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07%

15.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.8%

45.21%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 37.01%

RB Leipzig 41%

Draw 22%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.8% 4-3 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.11% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 7.14% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.33% 3-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.81% Total : 41%