Home > Football > Bundesliga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | -7 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 64.9% | 19.08% | 16.02% |
| Both teams to score 57.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% | 58.76% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% | 10.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.58% | 34.41% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% | 35.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% | 72.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.34% 3-0 @ 7.17% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-1 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.02% |