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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | -7 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
64.9% | 19.08% | 16.02% |
Both teams to score 57.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.39% | 36.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.39% | 10.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.58% | 34.41% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% | 35.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% | 72.69% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.34% 3-0 @ 7.17% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-1 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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