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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 28.67% | 22.53% | 48.8% |
| Both teams to score 63.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% | 36.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% | 58.99% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% | 59.57% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% | 15.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.7% | 44.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.67% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 5.81% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 4.04% 1-4 @ 2.71% 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.96% Total : 48.8% |