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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 65.86% | 19% | 15.14% |
| Both teams to score 55.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% | 38.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.66% | 60.34% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.21% | 10.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% | 74.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.11% 3-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 4.2% 4-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-2 @ 1.97% 5-0 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.48% Total : 65.85% | 1-1 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19% | 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-1 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.54% 1-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.14% |