Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
3 - 0
Greuther Furth

Lucoqui (15'), Szalai (18'), Stoger (90+2')
Bell (25'), Kohr (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoogma (22'), Seguin (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Greuther Furth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Greuther Furth
33.31%	25.96%	40.72%

Both teams to score 53.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.58%

50.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.65%

72.35%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31%

28.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49%

64.51%

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55%

24.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11%

58.89%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 33.31%

Greuther Furth 40.72%

Draw 25.95%

Mainz 05	Draw	Greuther Furth
1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.31%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.72%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Greuther Furth

Mainz 05

90.3%

Draw

3.2%

Greuther Furth

6.5%