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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Greuther Furth |
33.31% | 25.96% | 40.72% |
Both teams to score 53.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.58% | 50.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.65% | 72.35% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% | 28.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% | 64.51% |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% | 24.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% | 58.89% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Greuther Furth |
1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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